NCAER
India business sentiments 'moderated' in Q2 amid US tariffs, global uncertainties: NCAER survey
A recent survey conducted by Delhi-based think tank National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) showed India's business sentiments moderated in the September quarter (Q2) of the current financial year (FY26) compared to the first quarter.
This was the first decline witnessed by the nation after three consecutive quarters of improvement.
The think tank said the present round of the Business Expectations Survey was carried out in September 2025 during a period marked by international uncertainties and domestic GST reforms.
"The US policies included imposition of additional tariffs, steep hike in H1-B visa fees and imposition of tariff on branded and patented pharmaceutical products. On the domestic side, the new Goods & Services (GST) rates came into effect from September 22, 2025. The number of GST tax slabs were brought down from four to three and GST tax rates rationalised," the statement issued by the think tank said.
The BCI eased from 149.4 in 2025-26:Q1 to 142.6 in 2025−26:Q2.
However, compared to the corresponding period in the previous fiscal year, business sentiments still remain elevated (142.6 in 2025-26:Q2 compared to 134.3 in 2024-25:Q2)
US President Donald Trump-led administration imposed 50 percent tariffs on imports from India that became effective on August 27.
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